Tuesday 5 November 2013

Individual Topic Review Paper Final

“Super Rice”: The Future of Our Staple Food? [1]

Zhuang Lingzhen (lz.zhuang.2013@economics.smu.edu.sg), 1st Year student, Bachelor of Science (Economics), Singapore Management University

Executive Summary

History has proved the importance of agriculture on the human race 15,000 years ago. The transition, from hunter-gatherer society to agricultural society in the Fertile Crescent, has changed the face of the Earth. If not for agriculture, the world will not be revolutionized to what it is today, where the human population is ever increasing and therefore leading to advancement in technologies because there will be surpluses supported in different specialized sectors, this is shown from the past that agriculture had brought about the development and use of advance technologies in their time to improve and move forward as a civilization. The bottom-line, if the world does not have enough food, we are going to slow down and eventually collapse.

Therefore, this paper, first analyzes the history of agriculture and rice and the importance of agriculture and rice. Next, the current situation the world is in which includes the problems that arise from the technologies that spurred the Green Revolution and the need for sustainable agriculture by adopting hybrid rice technology. Problems from the environment that affects food security and health issues are to be discussed. These problems might be the drivers for hybrid rice technology. The paper finally analyzes and addresses the future considerations that would arise in the future if this ‘Green Super Rice’ were to replace the current rice technology and thus, the future of our staple food.

1. Introduction

As world population is expected to rise from the estimated “7 billion”, current UN forecasts display a continual rise in population in the coming future, with the population anticipated to reach “9.6 billion” by 2050. (United Nations, 2013). There is a growing concern on the sustainability for further world population growth, highlighting the pressing issues like shortage of global food supplies.

Importance of Rice

Rice is a staple food for beyond half of the population of earth, providing 20% of the world’s food energy source, while wheat and maize provides 19% and 5% respectively (Food and Agricultural Organization [FAO], 2004). In addition, rice is a major energy source for food for 17 nations from Pacific and Asia, 9 nations from both South and North America and 8 nations from Africa (FAO, 2004).

Food security is a serious problem in developing nations; it is a condition of having sufficient food to provide ample nutrition for a healthful lifestyle (“Food Security”, n.d.). Food security is threatened with the loss of rice in developing nations because of post-harvest problems, problems such as environment, pest infestation and health. Not only does the loss of rice threaten food security, it also threatens the income of the people. Basavaraja, Mahajanashetti, Udagatti & Naveen’s (2007) stated that farmers from emerging countries such as India, China and other nations “lose approximately US$89 billion of income in post-harvest farm losses” owing to the absence of proper storage and retail, and poor transport that could be prevented. According to the authors, in India alone, if the post-harvest farm loss could be resolved with improve retail network and infrastructure, sufficient food would be spared every year to feed “70 to 100 million people over a year” (Basawaraja et al., 2007).

And in recent years, various organizations are looking into sustainable agriculture, specifically in this paper, it will touch on sustainable rice production that alleviate these problems as organizations are clear that this is the way forward. Though the use of hybrid rice technology is the focus, currently it also has its limitations. Therefore, this paper looks into the emerging technologies of better hybrid rice for being the future of sustainable rice. Finally, this paper forecasts and evaluates the impact such technologies may have.

Thus, this ties in to the topic – “Super Rice”: The Future of Our Staple Food Source?

Sustainable Agriculture

It is defined as using farming techniques, to make fiber, food, or other animal or plant products, which protects human societies and health, welfare of animal and the environment.  This way of agriculture allows us to create health-giving food without limiting the future generations to do the equivalent (“Sustainable Agriculture”, n.d.).

Hybrid Rice
It is whichever type of rice resulting from crossbreeding of different kinds of rice.  Hybrid rice characteristically displays hybrid vigor or heterosis- ability to withstand diseases, whereby when it is cultivated under similar environments compared with high-yielding inbred rice, hybrid rice can produce an additional of “30% more rice” (International Rice Research Institute [IRRI], n.d.a as cited in “Hybrid Rice”, n.d.). Improved high-yield rice strains, such as the hybrid rice, are one of the most significant methods for tackling issues on food security globally.

2. Historical Perspectives

History of Agriculture & Rice

According to Diamond (1997), agriculture took place from about 15 000 years ago, where crop domestication then animal domestication were first discovered from the Fertile Crescent which is in the region of modern Middle-East. And climate change in the region caused the people to migrate and eventually spread the way of crops cultivation to Europe, and slowly we see a rise in European power and human population and revolutionary technologies. Because agriculture brought about surpluses to population, which will be working in their specialized sectors, hence there will be advance in technologies, leading to power and rise of civilizations and eventually into a world today.

Evidence in the form of genetic has revealed that production of rice began from a solitary domestication in the Pearl Valley region of China, in 8,200–13,500 years ago (Huang et al., 2012).

History of Hybrid Rice

Professor Yuan Long Ping from China, is publicly known as the “Father of Hybrid Rice”, because his work in the period between year 1960-1970, had led to the evolution of rice strain with “genetically inherited male sterility” (International Rice Research Institute [IRRI], n.d.b). This means, self-pollination was blocked in this rice; this is to allow the same rice to be pollinated by a different parent. Hence this technique is known as cross-pollination, rice breeders globally to develop hybrid rice now extensively use this technique.
In addition, according to IRRI (n.d.b), the initial three hybrid rice variations were used in China in 1974 and across-the-board commercialization of hybrid rice was established in 1976. Though the initial creation of the hybrid rice grain had greater returns, the rice grain likewise had substandard quality and poor resistance to diseases and pests. Despite of this, rice scientists had overcame these issues and the present group of such hybrid rice has quality that is improved and the resistance threshold to diseases and pests improved, this type of hybrid rice is either similar to or superior to the inbred rice.

From the analysis of the history, we can see the importance of agriculture and how big an impact it has on the world especially its economic development. This can be closely related to the importance of rice because it is the leading consumption grain, and a leading staple food of the world being produced. With Food Security being the main focus of global world crisis, we see the importance of sustainable food production and further the importance of hybrid rice technology that solves this imminent global crisis which is caused by the technologies based from Green Revolution – the heavy use of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides for to produce high yield crops.

3. Current Situation

Rice is a main staple food source and a basis and food security for the people in the rural regions. For the workers in the non-agricultural sectors, rice also provides incomes to them. It is essential for much of the people’s nutrition in Asia, likewise in the Africa, Caribbean and the Latin America. It is vital to more than half the world population’s food security. Nations that are developing account for “95% of the total rice production”; India and China are accountable for nearly half of the total production (FAO, 2003).

Rice is the number one crop produced for human consumption, and this important grain attributes to greater than “one fifth of the calories” ingested globally (Smith, 1998 as cited in “Rice”, n.d.). With risk of decrease in food security being the driver behind the Green revolution. The Green Revolution based on the technologies of high yielding strains and the dependence on chemical fertilizers and pesticides, these have played a huge beneficial role in rice production and food security but these also comes with a great cost and problems. Problems like environmental and health issues, which lead back to food security. Therefore, these could be the drivers for new technologies on sustainable rice production.

More than a billion people, who are one fifth of the world’s population, are dependent on the jobs from rice farming. “In Asia, where about 90% of rice is grown, have more than 200 million rice farms.” (International Rice Research Institute [IRRI], n.d.c). Farming of rice is the core economic occupation for tons of people in Asia’s rural regions. In Africa, the Caribbean and Latin America, rice is the fastest growing staple. In many of the nations that are developing, rice is associated with food security and is narrowly linked to “political security”, because the change in the availability of rice leads to a change in price, this change had triggered social turmoil in some countries. Above everything else, the challenge is to create a surplus of rice supplies with less water, labor and land, in a certain production method that is more effective, environmentally friendly and is unaffected to climate change (IRRI, n.d.c).

With the pressing problems after the 1960s Green Revolution, sustainable agriculture has been a focus and the way forward to alleviate them. With the use of hybrid rice has ever since been the focus but there are still limitations to them. Hence, this section of the paper first looks into the benefits then the limitations of current technology, which might be the driving factor that calls for better technology of hybrid rice.


Problems arising from the Green Revolution

The advantages of the technologies that spurred the Green Revolution, which saved millions from the threat of famine, have diminished, because of the problems from the heavy use of pesticides and synthetic fertilizers. These problems indirectly threaten the food security of the world. Therefore, this section of the paper will look into how these factors and also other factors that impact food security.

Environmental Factor

Degradation of Soil
Green Revolution relies heavily on synthetic fertilizers, which made land become hard and soil organic carbon content has gone down, making the soil infertile (Pimentel, 1996), thus this will lead to a decrease in food security.

Long Term Dependence on Pesticides
Rice pests are whichever living things are able to decrease the value or amount of the rice harvested (“Rice”, n.d.). Though pesticides are used to eliminate rice pests to increase rice-yields, they have their drawbacks. In the long run, heavy dependence on pesticides have made pests resistant to the pesticides and this leads to a rise in pest infestation (PBS, 2001 as cited in “Pest Resistance” 2011), which results in a reduction in rice yield, and thus threatens food security. This shows that there is a need to produce a strain that does not need pesticides.

Global Warming leads to fall in Yield, which threaten Food Security

A 2010 study that is based on the proceedings from “227 farms” in Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Vietnam and Thailand, uncovered that, due to the increasing temperatures and declining solar radiation during the late 20th century, the rate of growth of rice yield has decreased “10-20%” in various regions of the Asia continent, comparing to the results observed had the solar radiation and temperature movements not happened (Black, 2010; Welch et. al, 2010).

Health Factor
The frequent heavy use of chemical pesticides also affects human health. The direct and indirect consumption of the pesticides may increase the possibility of suffering from cancer in some of the villages using them because of their unprofessional ways of farming, which includes over-usage of the chemicals compound and non-compliance to usage of masks (Loyn, 2008).

Economic Factor

The United Nations Millennium Development project aims to develop the economy of Africa. With the “Green revolution” quoted as the excellent example for developing economy of the world, shown from the success of Green revolution on the emergence of Asia in “agronomic productivity”. Hoping to replicate this success, organizations are doing research on agriculture structures in Africa to increase agricultural productivity. But, the methods based in Green Revolution do not improve the food security of Africa, because conditions in such countries are harsh and arable land is scarce. Furthermore, the population is constantly expanding. (“Rice”, n.d.)

Need for Hybrid Rice Technology

Again, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization, rice is the utmost economically fundamental crop in the world (FAOSTAT, n.d. as cited in “Perennial Rice”, n.d.). Rice is the leading cereal crop in the human diet, supplying 23% of total human caloric intake (Khush, 2003 as cited in “Perennial Rice”, n.d.).

The problems from Green Revolution are the driving factors to look into a better technology for sustainable rice production. Research on hybrid rice began when it was identified be a solution to alleviate the problems surfaced. Hence, the first consumable hybrid rice was used in China in 1974; thereafter it was spread globally and had continuously been improved. But, there are still limitations even with relentless improvements. So in this part

Limitations to Current Hybrid Rice Technology

Although there are benefits, there are also limitations like it does not solve the economic problem of developing countries and rice being mostly consumed in Asia-where most of the countries that are still developing- big players in the rice industry, such as China and India, the results from the degradation in soil quality have led to scarcity in arable land in these regions. Further, rice is an increasing staple food in Africa where it has harsh growing condition and lack of arable land, current hybrid rice are unable to alleviate this problem of scarce arable land (Zhang, 2007). Therefore, a better rice or ‘Green Super Rice’ strain is needed to solve these problems. As we learnt that China is forecasted as the future superpower and Africa being projected as the emerging market, it is important to look into better rice strains that could ensure food security in both regions as food security determines economic development.

Infertile Soil
Utilizing the infertile soil is still a challenge as most of the land used for agriculture are infertile due to heavy use of fertilizers, and even though current hybrid rice save land, its approach is saving land through seeds that could yield more in small land area thus saving land, but it still does not eliminate the use of fertilizers which could lead to even more infertile soil, hence this still does not alleviate the current problem of using fertilizers and eventually solving the long term problem of large amount of unusable large infertile soil (Zhang, 2007). Therefore this could lead back to an economic problem and food security problem.

Need for Pesticides
Use of Pesticides leads to complicated health issues and the current hybrid rice technology still requires the need to use pesticides, which are harmful to health of people. According to an approximation by WHO and UN, there were around “1 million human pesticide poisonings annually” (WHO & UN, 1989 as cited in “Green Revolution”, n.d.).

4. Future Considerations

Acceleration of sustainable rice production technology could indicate an age of revolutionary change. With the focus shifting to hybrid rice and ongoing research for better hybrid rice, we might see a 2nd Green Revolution which is only based on hybrid rice. We can see this from numerous research that concentrate on hybridizing the best rice strains for sustainable rice production.

The Need for A Revolutionary Hybrid Rice Technology

The United Nations Millennium Development project aims to develop the economy of Africa. With the “Green revolution” quoted as the excellent example for developing economy of the world, shown from the positive economic impact of “Green revolution” had on the emergence of Asia in “agronomic productivity”. Hoping to replicate this success, organizations are doing research on agriculture structures in Africa to increase agricultural productivity. These rice strains are chosen to withstand the harsh cultivating environments of Africa, therefore considerably increase rice harvests in and enable an economic recovery (“Rice”, n.d.). Therefore in the next part of this paper, we will look into the ‘Green Super Rice’, which is a breakthrough in hybrid rice research that could result in better food security and sustainability for both Asia and Africa, through the elimination of the limitations of current hybrid rice.

This section of the paper examines the ‘Green Super Rice’ that is an evolution to current hybrid rice and could be revolutionary as it looks to deal with environmental stresses caused by current technologies of agriculture. This paper will look into the advantages and disadvantages and assess the impacts that could arise in the future if the ‘Green Super Rice’ is to replace current hybrid rice on a global scale and become the future of our staple food.

Advantages of ‘Green Super Rice’

This section of the paper discusses the advantages of this new unique rice strain. Zhang (2007) analyzed on what are the advantages of this unique rice strain should possess. Briefly, Zhang mentioned, the ‘Green Super Rice’ does not depend on fertilizers, so it could be cultivated in infertile lands caused by current practices also in scarce arable lands in Africa, hence, this leads to sustainability in rice production without the cost of environment and this also leading to economic development in the rural regions as it could provide jobs for them. Secondly, this rice strain is resistant to drought, why is this important? Because, rice depends greatly on water to grow, global warming is a massive factor in climate change, and this brings about drought in large rice production areas such as China and India, therefore “drought stress” is still acknowledged as the main limitation in producing rice. Thirdly, this unique rice strain is resistant to pests and diseases, and this means that pesticides will not be used, therefore this has a positive impact on health of the people and likewise as important, the risk of food security problem from the loss of rice due to pests invasion and diseases. Lastly, the rice strain is high in quality compared to current the hybrid rice strain. According to Zhang, in the past, lots of crossbreeding methods took “yield potential” as the main goal, subsequently; many common high-yielding hybrids have comparatively reduced quality. With the living standards increased, the priorities are the better appearance quality of rice, better cooking and eating, further, “more than half “of the population of the world, mostly the underprivileged from emerging nations such as Africa, suffers from the damaging results of lack of micronutrient in their diet. For those nations, where rice is the main staple food, in order to increase the consumption of micronutrients, it is necessary to enhance the nutrition or rather the quality of the rice grain.

Hence, emphasizing on the environmental problems, which leads back to the problems on food security and economic, and with the advantages stated above, the ‘Green Super Rice’ eliminates all the problems that lead to food security and economic problems, because this unique rice strain not only emphasizes on being a high-yielding rice strain but also taking into account the long-term problem that is actually caused by the environment.


Considerations on the Implications

Though, people might not be convinced due to the fact that it is a genetically modified food, that might have health implications in the long run, the author foresees that this ‘Green Super Rice’ will still be well received across the world provided if it is implemented in stages starting from the poor developing countries because many poor countries spend precious resources importing rice and African nations account for about one-third of global rice imports, this is due to the scarce arable land and harsh conditions therefore with this new strain, it can reduce the resources use for importing and better use for developing rice for the nation and could be one of the large exporter of rice that also improves the nation’s GDP and by using this new strain, it can also meet the demands of Africa and Asia, as both of these big players in rice faces challenges such as drought, flooding and diseases, which reduces the yield, so by using this strain which are weather and disease resistant, this will not only stop yield reduction but yield will also increase. So by starting out with these regions, clearly it will lead to many benefits. Benefits like increasing in yields, solve food security issues, improved economy and developing nations will thrive, which will improve standard of living, which will alleviate the problems on social well being and health. Hence, people will realize how much the benefits has brought and transformed a developing nation and finally they will accept this because these benefits are way more important, further, since the Green Revolution, people are already consuming genetically modified rice, which are also pesticide laden, while this ‘Green Super Rice’ strain is not only high-yielding but nutritionally dense. Therefore, with this analysis, ‘Green Super Rice’ will replace the current rice technology and be the future of our staple food source.

5. Conclusion

In summary, we see the importance of agriculture and its impact on the earth that leads to a revolution. Rice, being the leading consumer grain, which is also a food for life for beyond half of total population of planet earth together with the amount of people increasing and concerns of food security still arising even after Green Revolution, this signals a problem with the method based from Green Revolution, therefore the focus is being shifted from high use of pesticide and fertilizers to produce high yielding crops to researching on hybrid rice, though the hybrid rice technology solves some of the problems, it still has limitations which still indirectly leads to food insecurity and economic problem. Therefore, the ‘Green Super Rice’ is produced and looks to be spread on a large scale. Though it eliminates the indirect effect of environment and health and eventually solving food security and economic issues in the long run. The idea that this is a type of GMO food, which will still be hard for people to accept will not be a major factor because of the many benefits as compared to this small factor and the fact that people are already consuming on genetic food and even unhealthier pesticide laden rice, they would want a change to a more nutritional and environmentally friendly rice.

6. References

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[1] Reviewers: Thian Wen Li, Benedict Leong Kwok Yuen and Victor Looi

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